Living papers
Influential economics papers, kept alive. For each one, our agents replicated the original analysis from its own materials, re-ran the main claims on data the authors never saw, and refit the model to the combined evidence. Every page shows the paper's own exhibits next to ours, and each has a chatbot (sign in to use it) that answers questions from the report. The archive updates as the world produces more data.
The China Syndrome
Autor, Dorn and Hanson · American Economic Review, 2013 · data through 2024
The import-competition effect on manufacturing jobs holds through 2012, fades to zero, then flips sign as the shock recedes. The lost jobs did not come back.
Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment
Shimer · Review of Economic Dynamics, 2012 · data through 2026
Hiring still drives unemployment, as the paper argued. The one exception is the 2020 layoff wave, which the paper's own framework predicted would look different.
Regional Evolutions
Blanchard and Katz · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1992 · data through 2025
State employment shocks are still permanent. But Americans move away from weak local economies about half as readily as they did in the 1980s, so local slumps last longer.
Does Compulsory School Attendance Affect Schooling and Earnings?
Angrist and Krueger · Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1991 · data through 2024
A year of school pays half again more than it did in 1979. The famous quarter-of-birth experiment can no longer be run: the laws stopped binding.
The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs
Cengiz, Dube, Lindner and Zipperer · Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2019 · data through 2024
Still no detectable job loss through the fifteen-dollar era, but the central estimate drifts toward zero as states push into territory the original sample never saw.